Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 00:00:00+00:00 46.313105 53.151791 60.262485 68.176441 76.707368 85.597375 95.532748
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 37.747079 47.614352 58.441230 71.072146 85.277362 100.643444 118.407080
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 32.327893 43.829554 56.962733 72.799709 91.124705 111.430166 135.403421
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 26.855707 39.127662 53.693459 71.807422 93.309746 117.641100 146.886175
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 22.507534 35.187688 50.804353 70.781218 95.038820 122.990146 157.098492
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 19.474557 32.521594 49.141020 70.934956 97.916771 129.481482 168.480113
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 16.958110 30.230394 47.696876 71.139082 100.678207 135.704943 179.455573
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 14.998525 28.472617 46.756877 71.820757 103.903256 142.398241 190.935407
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 12.767760 26.063005 44.738677 70.935834 105.034814 146.459081 199.200186
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 11.506564 24.955656 44.386597 72.143810 108.743898 153.627678 211.193183
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 10.490287 24.111169 44.316433 73.663448 112.811513 161.222418 223.711560
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 8.958445 22.243604 42.637684 72.886393 113.820968 164.959729 231.484458
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 7.285018 19.925505 40.153682 70.901848 113.201916 166.656935 236.798705
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 6.927159 19.914937 41.137000 73.784184 119.051438 176.567525 252.344478
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 6.365092 19.448552 41.368030 75.564710 123.414453 184.592036 265.566565
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 5.306851 17.860913 39.719987 74.547282 123.937871 187.661422 272.571190
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 4.381555 16.374937 38.115699 73.497060 124.343181 190.527882 279.287988
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 3.768667 15.449500 37.362825 73.654406 126.371471 195.479099 288.634847
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 3.235322 14.602804 36.676601 73.863373 128.440228 200.468676 298.031594
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.828232 13.981297 36.332151 74.561157 131.175775 206.330409 308.551958
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.277996 12.852474 34.996166 73.655310 131.597106 209.105626 315.103100
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.028396 12.494810 35.035868 74.891824 135.065692 215.933958 326.887510
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.834496 12.258611 35.281679 76.447106 138.994342 223.389376 339.507128